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dc.contributor.authorAguilar-Maldonado, Alexis
dc.creatorAguilar-Maldonado, Alexisen_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-11-28T13:24:48Z
dc.date.available2011-11-28T13:24:48Z
dc.date.issued1979en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10150/191050
dc.description.abstractA complete methodology for long-term water supply planning is presented. Based upon the characteristics of the water resources development planning problem (nonlinearity of cost functions, and hydrologic variables), the author rejects the seeking of "optimal" solutions and supports the seeking of "good enough" solutions. To answer the questions that are involved in long-term water supply planning, it is proposed to break down the problem into two simpler ones to be solved in a sequential fashion. Although mathematical guarantee of optimality cannot be assured, the introduction of physical and engineering constraints greatly increases the confidence in the final results. The proposed methodology allows deep analysis of the hydrologic aspects involved in water resources planning. The depth of hydrologic analysis is only restricted by available data and technology. In this respect, a method for synthetic generation of monthly runoff records in ungaged streams is proposed. An application of the methodology to the development of a Mexico City water supply plan is presented in full detail to appreciate its usefulness. Mexico City population forecast for the year 2000 is 28 million people. The estimated water demand in that year is 105 m³/sec, more than twice the present water supply of 50 m³/sec. To satisfy this demand, water has to be brought from four basins more than 150 km distant, and located at elevations more than 1,000 m below Mexico City's elevation (2,300 m above mean sea level). The water supply plan which resulted from this study indicates the most recommendable sequence for the development of the four basins, and the amount of water to be obtained from each one.
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherThe University of Arizona.en_US
dc.rightsCopyright © is held by the author. Digital access to this material is made possible by the University Libraries, University of Arizona. Further transmission, reproduction or presentation (such as public display or performance) of protected items is prohibited except with permission of the author.en_US
dc.subjectHydrology.en_US
dc.subjectUrban hydrology -- Mexico -- Mexico City -- Mathematical models.en_US
dc.subjectWater resources development -- Mexico -- Mexico City -- Mathematical models.en_US
dc.titleMethodology for long-term water supply planning : Mexico City caseen_US
dc.typeDissertation-Reproduction (electronic)en_US
dc.typetexten_US
dc.contributor.chairEvans, Daniel D.en_US
dc.identifier.oclc213275330en_US
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Arizonaen_US
thesis.degree.leveldoctoralen_US
dc.contributor.committeememberInce, Simonen_US
dc.contributor.committeememberDavis, Donald R.en_US
thesis.degree.disciplineHydrology and Water Resourcesen_US
thesis.degree.disciplineGraduate Collegeen_US
thesis.degree.namePh. D.en_US
dc.description.notehydrology collectionen_US
refterms.dateFOA2018-08-24T07:32:58Z
html.description.abstractA complete methodology for long-term water supply planning is presented. Based upon the characteristics of the water resources development planning problem (nonlinearity of cost functions, and hydrologic variables), the author rejects the seeking of "optimal" solutions and supports the seeking of "good enough" solutions. To answer the questions that are involved in long-term water supply planning, it is proposed to break down the problem into two simpler ones to be solved in a sequential fashion. Although mathematical guarantee of optimality cannot be assured, the introduction of physical and engineering constraints greatly increases the confidence in the final results. The proposed methodology allows deep analysis of the hydrologic aspects involved in water resources planning. The depth of hydrologic analysis is only restricted by available data and technology. In this respect, a method for synthetic generation of monthly runoff records in ungaged streams is proposed. An application of the methodology to the development of a Mexico City water supply plan is presented in full detail to appreciate its usefulness. Mexico City population forecast for the year 2000 is 28 million people. The estimated water demand in that year is 105 m³/sec, more than twice the present water supply of 50 m³/sec. To satisfy this demand, water has to be brought from four basins more than 150 km distant, and located at elevations more than 1,000 m below Mexico City's elevation (2,300 m above mean sea level). The water supply plan which resulted from this study indicates the most recommendable sequence for the development of the four basins, and the amount of water to be obtained from each one.


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