The UA Campus Repository is experiencing systematic automated, high-volume traffic (bots). Temporary mitigation measures to address bot traffic have been put in place; however, this has resulted in restrictions on searching WITHIN collections or using sidebar filters WITHIN collections. You can still Browse by Title/Author/Year WITHIN collections. Also, you can still search at the top level of the repository (use the search box at the top of every page) and apply filters from that search level. Export of search results has also been restricted at this time. Please contact us at any time for assistance - email repository@u.library.arizona.edu.
Partisan turnover in congressional elections, 1972-1996: A district level approach
| dc.contributor.advisor | Jones, Bradford | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author | Witmer, Richard Clarence | |
| dc.creator | Witmer, Richard Clarence | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2013-04-25T09:52:03Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2013-04-25T09:52:03Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 1999 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10150/284021 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Prior research on congressional elections is decidedly candidate centered. While candidates are important to the electoral process, the individual is but one of a number of factors in congressional elections. In this research I expand the debate on congressional elections to include how political parties survive across time in congressional districts. To do this I model party turnover from 1972 to 1996 using a number of district level attributes. This includes whether an incumbent candidate is seeking reelection, competitiveness of the district in the previous election, length of time a district has supported the incumbent party, district context (and district context change) and region of the country. The probability of a quality challenger emerging in a congressional district is also estimated given the aforementioned district level attributes. Presence of a quality challenger is then added to the district level model and the probability of party turnover is estimated. To estimate the effects of district level attributes on party turnover, an event history analysis with a logit specification is used. This allows for the inclusion of duration dependence given a binomial dependent variable. The implications for this research are numerous, including the effects of party turnover on representation and redistributive benefits for a congressional district. A second implication focuses on how political context affects the survival of political parties in congressional districts given the redistricting process. Finally, the possible effects of district level attributes and party turnover on party mobilization and voter turnout are discussed. | |
| dc.language.iso | en_US | en_US |
| dc.publisher | The University of Arizona. | en_US |
| dc.rights | Copyright © is held by the author. Digital access to this material is made possible by the University Libraries, University of Arizona. Further transmission, reproduction or presentation (such as public display or performance) of protected items is prohibited except with permission of the author. | en_US |
| dc.subject | History, United States. | en_US |
| dc.subject | Political Science, General. | en_US |
| dc.title | Partisan turnover in congressional elections, 1972-1996: A district level approach | en_US |
| dc.type | text | en_US |
| dc.type | Dissertation-Reproduction (electronic) | en_US |
| thesis.degree.grantor | University of Arizona | en_US |
| thesis.degree.level | doctoral | en_US |
| dc.identifier.proquest | 9957963 | en_US |
| thesis.degree.discipline | Graduate College | en_US |
| thesis.degree.discipline | Political Science | en_US |
| thesis.degree.name | Ph.D. | en_US |
| dc.description.note | This item was digitized from a paper original and/or a microfilm copy. If you need higher-resolution images for any content in this item, please contact us at repository@u.library.arizona.edu. | |
| dc.identifier.bibrecord | .b40143387 | en_US |
| dc.description.admin-note | Original file replaced with corrected file September 2023. | |
| refterms.dateFOA | 2018-08-14T07:38:39Z | |
| html.description.abstract | Prior research on congressional elections is decidedly candidate centered. While candidates are important to the electoral process, the individual is but one of a number of factors in congressional elections. In this research I expand the debate on congressional elections to include how political parties survive across time in congressional districts. To do this I model party turnover from 1972 to 1996 using a number of district level attributes. This includes whether an incumbent candidate is seeking reelection, competitiveness of the district in the previous election, length of time a district has supported the incumbent party, district context (and district context change) and region of the country. The probability of a quality challenger emerging in a congressional district is also estimated given the aforementioned district level attributes. Presence of a quality challenger is then added to the district level model and the probability of party turnover is estimated. To estimate the effects of district level attributes on party turnover, an event history analysis with a logit specification is used. This allows for the inclusion of duration dependence given a binomial dependent variable. The implications for this research are numerous, including the effects of party turnover on representation and redistributive benefits for a congressional district. A second implication focuses on how political context affects the survival of political parties in congressional districts given the redistricting process. Finally, the possible effects of district level attributes and party turnover on party mobilization and voter turnout are discussed. |
