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dc.contributor.authorDvoranchik, William
dc.contributor.authorDuckstein, Lucien
dc.contributor.authorKisiel, Chester C.
dc.date.accessioned2013-08-29T15:04:46Z
dc.date.available2013-08-29T15:04:46Z
dc.date.issued1972-05-06
dc.identifier.issn0272-6106
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10150/300237
dc.descriptionFrom the Proceedings of the 1972 Meetings of the Arizona Section - American Water Resources Assn. and the Hydrology Section - Arizona Academy of Science - May 5-6, 1972, Prescott, Arizonaen_US
dc.description.abstractA critique of statistical properties of monthly flows on an ephemeral stream in Arizona is given. A subjective procedure, justified for managerial purposes not concerned with the variability of flow within the month, is proposed for sequential generation of monthly flow data. Ephemeral flows should be modeled by starting with at least historical daily flows for more meaningful monthly flow models. Stochastic properties of monthly streamflows and state transition probabilities are reviewed with regard to ephemeral streams. A flow chart for a streamflow model geared to digital computers, with a simulation of streamflow subroutine, is developed. Meaningful monthly flow models could serve as a check on alternative models (subjective matrix, lag-one auto regressive, harmonic, bivariate normal, bivariate log-normal models). Rules and guidelines are presented in developing meaningful probability matrices.
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherArizona-Nevada Academy of Scienceen_US
dc.rightsCopyright ©, where appropriate, is held by the author.en_US
dc.subjectHydrology -- Arizona.en_US
dc.subjectWater resources development -- Arizona.en_US
dc.subjectHydrology -- Southwestern states.en_US
dc.subjectWater resources development -- Southwestern states.en_US
dc.subjectAnalysisen_US
dc.subjectProbabilityen_US
dc.subjectMonthlyen_US
dc.subjectEphemeral streamsen_US
dc.subjectStatistical methodsen_US
dc.subjectWatershed managementen_US
dc.subjectStochastic processesen_US
dc.subjectDaily hydrographsen_US
dc.subjectStreamflow forecastingen_US
dc.subjectModel studiesen_US
dc.subjectDigital computersen_US
dc.subjectSimulation analysisen_US
dc.subjectRegulationen_US
dc.subjectArizonaen_US
dc.subjectArid landsen_US
dc.titleObjective and Subjective Analysis of Transition Probabilities of Monthly Flow on an Ephemeral Streamen_US
dc.typetexten_US
dc.typeProceedingsen_US
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Systems and Industrial Engineering, University of Arizonaen_US
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizonaen_US
dc.identifier.journalHydrology and Water Resources in Arizona and the Southwesten_US
dc.description.collectioninformationThis article is part of the Hydrology and Water Resources in Arizona and the Southwest collections. Digital access to this material is made possible by the Arizona-Nevada Academy of Science and the University of Arizona Libraries. For more information about items in this collection, contact anashydrology@gmail.com.en_US
refterms.dateFOA2018-08-30T13:39:03Z
html.description.abstractA critique of statistical properties of monthly flows on an ephemeral stream in Arizona is given. A subjective procedure, justified for managerial purposes not concerned with the variability of flow within the month, is proposed for sequential generation of monthly flow data. Ephemeral flows should be modeled by starting with at least historical daily flows for more meaningful monthly flow models. Stochastic properties of monthly streamflows and state transition probabilities are reviewed with regard to ephemeral streams. A flow chart for a streamflow model geared to digital computers, with a simulation of streamflow subroutine, is developed. Meaningful monthly flow models could serve as a check on alternative models (subjective matrix, lag-one auto regressive, harmonic, bivariate normal, bivariate log-normal models). Rules and guidelines are presented in developing meaningful probability matrices.


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