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JournalMonthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society (3)EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL C (2)MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY (2)PHYSICS OF THE DARK UNIVERSE (1)Authors

Melia, Fulvio (8)

Univ Arizona, Dept Astron (8)

Univ Arizona, Dept Phys (8)

Leaf, Kyle (4)Melia, Fulvio (3) Univ Arizona, Dept Phys, Appl Math Program (3)Univ Arizona, Dept Phys, Program Appl Math (3)Yennapureddy, Manoj K. (3)Univ Arizona, Program Appl Math, Dept Phys (1)Wei, Jun-Jie (1)View MoreTypes
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A two-point diagnostic for the H ii galaxy Hubble diagram

Leaf, Kyle; Melia, Fulvio (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2017-12-01)

A previous analysis of starburst-dominated H II galaxies and H II regions has demonstrated
a statistically significant preference for the Friedmann–Robertson–Walker cosmology with
zero active mass, known as the Rh = ct universe, over cold dark matter (CDM) and its
related dark-matter parametrizations. In this paper, we employ a two-point diagnostic with
these data to present a complementary statistical comparison of Rh = ct with Planck CDM.
Our two-point diagnostic compares, in a pairwise fashion, the difference between the distance
modulus measured at two redshifts with that predicted by each cosmology. Our results support
the conclusion drawn by a previous comparative analysis demonstrating that Rh = ct is
statistically preferred over Planck CDM. But we also find that the reported errors in the
H II measurements may not be purely Gaussian, perhaps due to a partial contamination by
non-Gaussian systematic effects. The use of H II galaxies and H II regions as standard candles
may be improved even further with a better handling of the systematics in these sources.

The H II galaxy Hubble diagram strongly favours R-h = ct over Lambda CDM

Wei, Jun-Jie; Wu, Xue-Feng; Melia, Fulvio (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2016-12-01)

We continue to build support for the proposal to use H II galaxies (HIIGx) and giant extragalactic H II regions (GEHR) as standard candles to construct the Hubble diagram at redshifts beyond the current reach of Type Ia supernovae. Using a sample of 25 high-redshift HIIGx, 107 local HIIGx, and 24 GEHR, we confirm that the correlation between the emission -line luminosity and ionized -gas velocity dispersion is a viable luminosity indicator, and use it to test and compare the standard model Lambda CDM and the R-h = ct universe by optimizing the parameters in each cosmology using a maximization of the likelihood function. For the flat Lambda CDM model, the best fit is obtained with Omega(m) = 0.40(-0.09)(+0.09). However, statistical tools, such as the Akaike (AIC), Kullback (KIC) and Bayes (BIC) Information Criteria favour R-h = Ct over the standard model with a likelihood of approximate to 94.8-98.8 per cent versus only per cent. For wCDM (the version of ACDM with a dark -energy equation of state wde = Pde/Pde rather than was t WA = 1), a statistically acceptable fit is realized with Omega(m) = 0.221(-0.14)(+0.16) and wde = 0.511'0'21-5" which, however, are not fully consistent with their concordance values. In this case, wCDM has two more free parameters than R-h = Ct, and is penalized more heavily by these criteria. We find that R-h = Ct is strongly favoured over wCDM with a likelihood of approximate to 92.9-99.6 per cent versus only 0.4-7.1 per cent. The current HIIGx sample is already large enough for the BIC to rule out ACDM/wCDM in favour of R-h = Ct at a confidence level approaching 3 sigma.

A cosmological solution to the Impossibly Early Galaxy Problem

Yennapureddy, Manoj K.; Melia, Fulvio (ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV, 2018-03-26)

To understand the formation and evolution of galaxies at redshifts 0 less than or similar to z less than or similar to 10, one must invariably introduce specific models (e.g., for the star formation) in order to fully interpret the data. Unfortunately, this tends to render the analysis compliant to the theory and its assumptions, so consensus is still some-what elusive. Nonetheless, the surprisingly early appearance of massive galaxies challenges the standard model, and the halo mass function estimated from galaxy surveys at z greater than or similar to 4 appears to be inconsistent with the predictions of Lambda CDM, giving rise to what has been termed "The Impossibly Early Galaxy Problem" by some workers in the field. A simple resolution to this question may not be forthcoming. The situation with the halos themselves, however, is more straightforward and, in this paper, we use linear perturbation theory to derive the halo mass function over the redshift range 0 less than or similar to z less than or similar to 10 for the R-h = ct universe. We use this predicted halo distribution to demonstrate that both its dependence on mass and its very weak dependence on redshift are compatible with the data. The difficulties with Lambda CDM may eventually be overcome with refinements to the underlying theory of star formation and galaxy evolution within the halos. For now, however, we demonstrate that the unexpected early formation of structure may also simply be due to an incorrect choice of the cosmology, rather than to yet unknown astrophysical issues associated with the condensation of mass fluctuations and subsequent galaxy formation.

Analysing H(z) data using two-point diagnostics

Leaf, Kyle; Melia, Fulvio (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2017-09)

Measurements of the Hubble constantH(z) are increasingly being used to test the expansion rate predicted by various cosmological models. But the recent application of two-point diagnostics, such as Om(zi, zj) and Omh(2)(zi, zj), has produced considerable tension between Lambda CDM's predictions and several observations, with other models faring even worse. Part of this problem is attributable to the continued mixing of truly model-independent measurements using the cosmic-chronometer approach, and model-dependent data extracted from baryon acoustic oscillations. In this paper, we advance the use of two-point diagnostics beyond their current status, and introduce new variations, which we call Delta h(zi, zj), that are more useful for model comparisons. But we restrict our analysis exclusively to cosmic-chronometer data, which are truly model independent. Even for these measurements, however, we confirm the conclusions drawn by earlier workers that the data have strongly non-Gaussian uncertainties, requiring the use of both 'median' and 'mean' statistical approaches. Our results reveal that previous analyses using two-point diagnostics greatly underestimated the errors, thereby misinterpreting the level of tension between theoretical predictions and H(z) data. Instead, we demonstrate that as of today, only Einstein-de Sitter is ruled out by the two-point diagnostics at a level of significance exceeding similar to 3s. The R-h = ct universe is slightly favoured over the remaining models, including Lambda cold dark matter and Chevalier-Polarski-Linder, though all of them (other than Einstein-de Sitter) are consistent to within 1 sigma with the measured mean of the Delta h(zi, zj) diagnostics.

Cosmological tests with strong gravitational lenses using Gaussian processes

Yennapureddy, Manoj K.; Melia, Fulvio (SPRINGER, 2018-03-24)

Strong gravitational lenses provide source/lens distance ratios D-obs useful in cosmological tests. Previously, a catalog of 69 such systems was used in a one-on-one comparison between the standard model, Lambda CDM, and the R-h = ct universe, which has thus far been favored by the application of model selection tools to many other kinds of data. But in that work, the use of model parametric fits to the observations could not easily distinguish between these two cosmologies, in part due to the limited measurement precision. Here, we instead use recently developed methods based on Gaussian Processes (GP), in which D-obs may be reconstructed directly from the data without assuming any parametric form. This approach not only smooths out the reconstructed function representing the data, but also reduces the size of the 1 sigma confidence regions, thereby providing greater power to discern between different models. With the current sample size, we show that analyzing strong lenses with a GP approach can definitely improve the model comparisons, producing probability differences in the range similar to 10-30%. These results are still marginal, however, given the relatively small sample. Nonetheless, we conclude that the probability of R-h = ct being the correct cosmology is somewhat higher than that of Lambda CDM, with a degree of significance that grows with the number of sources in the subsamples we consider. Future surveys will significantly grow the catalog of strong lenses and will therefore benefit considerably from the GP method we describe here. In addition, we point out that if the R-h = ct universe is eventually shown to be the correct cosmology, the lack of free parameters in the study of strong lenses should provide a remarkably powerful tool for uncovering the mass structure in lensing galaxies.

Model selection with strong-lensing systems

Leaf, Kyle; Melia, Fulvio (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2018-05-24)

In this paper, we use an unprecedentedly large sample (158) of confirmed strong lens systems for model selection, comparing five well-studied Friedmann–Robertson–Walker cosmologies: ΛCDM, wCDM (the standard model with a variable dark-energy equation of state), the Rh = ct universe, the (empty) Milne cosmology, and the classical Einstein-de Sitter (matter-dominated) universe. We first use these sources to optimize the parameters in the standard model and show that they are consistent with Planck, though the quality of the best fit is not satisfactory. We demonstrate that this is likely due to underreported errors, or to errors yet to be included in this kind of analysis. We suggest that the missing dispersion may be due to scatter about a pure single isothermal sphere (SIS) model that is often assumed for the mass distribution in these lenses. We then use the Bayes information criterion, with the inclusion of a suggested SIS dispersion, to calculate the relative likelihoods and ranking of these models, showing that Milne and Einstein-de Sitter are completely ruled out, while Rh = ct is preferred over ΛCDM/wCDM with a relative probability of ∼73percent versus ∼24percent. The recently reported sample of new strong lens candidates by the Dark Energy Survey, if confirmed, may be able to demonstrate which of these two models is favoured over the other at a level exceeding 3σ.

A comparison of the Rh=ct and Λ CDM cosmologies based on the observed halo mass function

Yennapureddy, Manoj K.; Melia, Fulvio (SPRINGER, 2019-07-08)

The growth of structure may be traced via the redshift-dependent halo mass function. This quantity probes the re-ionization history and quasar abundance in the Universe, constituting an important probe of the cosmological predictions. Halos are not directly observable, however, so their mass and evolution must be inferred indirectly. The most common approach is to presume a relationship with galaxies and halos. Studies based on the assumption of a constant halo to stellar mass ratio Mh/M (extrapolated from z less than or similar to 4) reveal significant tension with Lambda CDM - a failure known as The Impossibly Early Galaxy Problem. But whether this ratio evolves or remains constant through redshift 4 less than or similar to z less than or similar to 10 is still being debated. To eliminate the tension with Lambda CDM, it would have to change by about 0.8 dex over this range, an issue that may be settled by upcoming observations with the James Webb Space Telescope. In this paper, we explore the possibility that this major inconsistency may instead be an indication that the cosmological model is not completely correct. We study this problem in the context of another Friedmann-Lemaitre-Robertson-Walker (FLRW) model known as the Rh=ct universe, and use our previous measurement of sigma 8 from the cosmological growth rate, together with new solutions to the Einstein-Boltzmann equations, to interpret these recent halo measurements. We demonstrate that the predicted mass and redshift dependence of the halo distribution in Rh=ct is consistent with the data, even assuming a constant Mh/M throughout the observed redshift range (4 less than or similar to z less than or similar to 10), contrasting sharply with the tension in Lambda CDM. We conclude that - if Mh/M turns out to be constant - the massive galaxies and their halos must have formed earlier than is possible in Lambda CDM.

A two-point diagnostic for the H ii galaxy Hubble diagram

Leaf, Kyle; Melia, Fulvio (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2018-03)

A previous analysis of starburst-dominated HII galaxies and HII regions has demonstrated a statistically significant preference for the Friedmann-Robertson-Walker cosmology with zero active mass, known as the R-h = c(t) universe, over Lambda cold dark matter (Lambda CDM) and its related dark-matter parametrizations. In this paper, we employ a two-point diagnostic with these data to present a complementary statistical comparison of Rh = ct with Planck Lambda CDM. Our two-point diagnostic compares, in a pairwise fashion, the difference between the distance modulus measured at two redshifts with that predicted by each cosmology. Our results support the conclusion drawn by a previous comparative analysis demonstrating that Rh = ct is statistically preferred over Planck Lambda CDM. But we also find that the reported errors in the HII measurements may not be purely Gaussian, perhaps due to a partial contamination by non-Gaussian systematic effects. The use of HII galaxies and HII regions as standard candles may be improved even further with a better handling of the systematics in these sources.

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