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dc.contributor.authorKuil, L.*
dc.contributor.authorEvans, T.*
dc.contributor.authorMcCord, P. F.*
dc.contributor.authorSalinas, J.L.*
dc.contributor.authorBlöschl, G.*
dc.date.accessioned2018-08-15T17:08:43Z
dc.date.available2018-08-15T17:08:43Z
dc.date.issued2018-04
dc.identifier.citationKuil, L., Evans, T., McCord, P. F., Salinas, J.L., & Blöschl, G. (2018). Exploring the influence of smallholders' perceptions regarding water availability on crop choice and water allocation through socio‐hydrological modeling. Water Resources Research, 54, 2580–2604. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021420en_US
dc.identifier.issn00431397
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/2017WR021420
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10150/628527
dc.description.abstractWhile it is known that farmers adopt different decision-making behaviors to cope with stresses, it remains challenging to capture this diversity in formal model frameworks that are used to advance theory and inform policy. Guided by cognitive theory and the theory of bounded rationality, this research develops a novel, socio-hydrological model framework that can explore how a farmer's perception of water availability impacts crop choice and water allocation. The model is informed by a rich empirical data set at the household level collected during 2013 in Kenya's Upper Ewaso Ng'iro basin that shows that the crop type cultivated is correlated with water availability. The model is able to simulate this pattern and shows that near-optimal or satisficing crop patterns can emerge also when farmers were to make use of simple decision rules and have diverse perceptions on water availability. By focusing on farmer decision making it also captures the rebound effect, i.e., as additional water becomes available through the improvement of crop efficiencies it will be reallocated on the farm instead of flowing downstream, as a farmer will adjust his (her) water allocation and crop pattern to the new water conditions. This study is valuable as it is consistent with the theory of bounded rationality, and thus offers an alternative, descriptive model in addition to normative models. The framework can be used to understand the potential impact of climate change on the socio-hydrological system, to simulate and test various assumptions regarding farmer behavior and to evaluate policy interventions.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipAustrian Science Fund (FWF) as part of the Vienna Doctoral Programme on Water Resource Systems [DK W1219-N22]; U.S. National Science Foundation [SES-1360463, SES-1360421, BCS-1115009]en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherAMER GEOPHYSICAL UNIONen_US
dc.relation.urlhttp://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/wrcr.v54.4en_US
dc.relation.urlhttp://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/2017WR021420en_US
dc.rights© 2018. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License.en_US
dc.subjectsmallholderen_US
dc.subjectwater scarcityen_US
dc.subjectadaptionen_US
dc.subjectmodelingen_US
dc.subjectsocio-hydrologyen_US
dc.subjectagricultureen_US
dc.titleExploring the Influence of Smallholders' Perceptions Regarding Water Availability on Crop Choice and Water Allocation Through Socio-Hydrological Modelingen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.contributor.departmentUniv Arizona, Sch Geog & Deven_US
dc.identifier.journalWATER RESOURCES RESEARCHen_US
dc.description.note6 month embargo; published online: 12 March 2018en_US
dc.description.collectioninformationThis item from the UA Faculty Publications collection is made available by the University of Arizona with support from the University of Arizona Libraries. If you have questions, please contact us at repository@u.library.arizona.edu.en_US
dc.eprint.versionFinal published versionen_US
dc.source.journaltitleWater Resources Research
dc.source.volume54
dc.source.issue4
dc.source.beginpage2580
dc.source.endpage2604


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