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dc.contributor.authorBronk Ramsey, Christopher
dc.date.accessioned2021-02-11T20:44:48Z
dc.date.available2021-02-11T20:44:48Z
dc.date.issued1998-01-01
dc.identifier.citationBronk Ramsey, C. (1998). Probability and dating. Radiocarbon, 40(1), 461-474.
dc.identifier.issn0033-8222
dc.identifier.doi10.1017/S0033822200018348
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10150/653671
dc.descriptionFrom the 16th International Radiocarbon Conference held in Gronigen, Netherlands, June 16-20, 1997.
dc.description.abstractStatistical analysis is becoming much more widely used in conjunction with radiocarbon dating. In this paper I discuss the impact of Bayesian analysis (using computer programs such as OxCal) on archaeological research. In addition to simple analysis, the method has implications for the planning of dating projects and the assessment of the reliability of dates in their context. A new formalism for describing chronological models is introduced here: the Chronological Query Language (CQL), an extension of the model definitions found in the program OxCal. New methods of Bayesian analysis can be used to overcome some of the inherent biases in the uncertainty estimates of scientific dating methods. Most of these methods, including 14C, uranium series and thermoluminescence (TL), tend to favor some calendar dates over others. 14C calibration overcomes the problem where this is possible, but a Bayesian approach can be used more generally.
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherDepartment of Geosciences, The University of Arizona
dc.relation.urlhttp://radiocarbon.webhost.uits.arizona.edu/
dc.rightsCopyright © by the Arizona Board of Regents on behalf of the University of Arizona. All rights reserved.
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/
dc.subjectOxCal
dc.subjectnumerical models
dc.subjectBayesian analysis
dc.subjectprobability
dc.subjectcomputer programs
dc.subjectstatistical analysis
dc.subjectarchaeology
dc.subjectdata processing
dc.subjectC 14
dc.subjectcarbon
dc.subjectisotopes
dc.subjectradioactive isotopes
dc.subjectabsolute age
dc.titleProbability and Dating
dc.typeProceedings
dc.typetext
dc.identifier.journalRadiocarbon
dc.description.noteThis material was digitized as part of a cooperative project between Radiocarbon and the University of Arizona Libraries.
dc.description.collectioninformationThe Radiocarbon archives are made available by Radiocarbon and the University of Arizona Libraries. Contact lbry-journals@email.arizona.edu for further information.
dc.eprint.versionFinal published version
dc.description.admin-noteMigrated from OJS platform February 2021
dc.source.volume40
dc.source.issue1
dc.source.beginpage461
dc.source.endpage474
refterms.dateFOA2021-02-11T20:44:48Z


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