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    Political returns to ad hoc farm payments?

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    ad_hoc_voting_final.pdf
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    Final Accepted Manuscript
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    Author
    Janzen, Joseph P.
    Malone, Trey
    Schaefer, K. Aleks
    Scheitrum, Daniel P.
    Affiliation
    Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Arizona
    Issue Date
    2021-11-23
    Keywords
    2020 Presidential Election
    ad hoc farm payments
    coronavirus food assistance program
    market facilitation program
    voting behavior
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Publisher
    Wiley
    Citation
    Janzen, J. P., Malone, T., Schaefer, K. A., & Scheitrum, D. P. (2021). Political returns to ad hoc farm payments? Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy.
    Journal
    Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy
    Rights
    © 2021 Agricultural & Applied Economics Association.
    Collection Information
    This item from the UA Faculty Publications collection is made available by the University of Arizona with support from the University of Arizona Libraries. If you have questions, please contact us at repository@u.library.arizona.edu.
    Abstract
    This paper investigates the extent to which ad hoc farm payments made under the Market Facilitation Program (MFP) and the Coronavirus Food Assistance Program (CFAP) affected voting patterns in the 2020 Presidential Election. MFP and CFAP payments were historically unique not only in terms of their magnitude, but also because they were authorized almost entirely by the incumbent Administration of President Donald Trump without direct Congressional authorization or appropriation. Our results indicate that these payments did influence county-level voting outcomes. The observed response is driven almost exclusively by increased turnout among Trump supporters—we do not observe evidence that ad hoc payments generated widespread “vote switching” away from the Democratic or third-party candidates and toward Trump. We find the MFP and CFAP programs generated 677,512 votes for Republican candidate Trump in the 2020 Presidential Election with an estimated cost-per-vote-gained of $66,124. These votes induced by ad hoc farm payments were insufficient to change electoral college outcomes in any U.S. state.
    Note
    12 month embargo; first published: 23 November 2021
    ISSN
    2040-5790
    EISSN
    2040-5804
    DOI
    10.1002/aepp.13216
    Version
    Final accepted manuscript
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1002/aepp.13216
    Scopus Count
    Collections
    UA Faculty Publications

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