Predicting the Efficacy of SBRT for Lung Cancer with 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiogenomics

Abstract

Purpose: to develop a radiogenomic model on the basis of 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics and clinical-parameter EGFR for predicting PFS stratification in lung-cancer patients after SBRT treatment. Methods: A total of 123 patients with lung cancer who had undergone 18F-FDG PET/CT examination before SBRT from September 2014 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. All patients’ PET/CT images were manually segmented, and the radiomic features were extracted. LASSO regression was used to select radiomic features. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen clinical features to establish the clinical EGFR model, and a radiogenomic model was constructed by combining radiomics and clinical EGFR. We used the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve to assess the efficacy of the models. The decision curve and influence curve analysis were used to evaluate the clinical value of the models. The bootstrap method was used to validate the radiogenomic model, and the mean AUC was calculated to assess the model. Results: A total of 2042 radiomics features were extracted. Five radiomic features were related to the PFS stratification of lung-cancer patients with SBRT. T-stage and overall stages (TNM) were independent factors for predicting PFS stratification. AUCs under the ROC curve of the radiomics, clinical EGFR, and radiogenomic models were 0.84, 0.67, and 0.86, respectively. The calibration curve shows that the predicted value of the radiogenomic model was in good agreement with the actual value. The decision and influence curve showed that the model had high clinical application values. After Bootstrap validation, the mean AUC of the radiogenomic model was 0.850(95%CI 0.849–0.851). Conclusions: The radiogenomic model based on 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics and clinical EGFR has good application value in predicting the PFS stratification of lung-cancer patients after SBRT treatment. © 2023 by the authors.